Archive for the ‘Dollar sense’ Category
美国银行还是还钱了
最近看了两则报道，在2007年几乎倒闭的bank of amerian and citigroup准备还钱了，在危机中向政府借贷了几百个亿，两年以后就马上可以还了，是喜是忧？
如果两年可以轻易的挪到几百个亿，钱从哪里来的？不由想到最近六个月的故事狂涨和黄金。任何上涨的股市都是钱堆出来的，这个钱就是政府的无息借贷，而股市推上去以后，套利出来就是自己的啦。就我看来，银行要还贷，说明他们要赚的钱已经赚到了，行情也要结束了。
Best money management strategy
A PDF file downloaded from expert4x. Available as maximum-lot-course.
学习外汇交易一年
写个帖子纪念自己。
去年12月开始研究外汇交易（Forex），琢磨一圈，现在基本回到起点，似乎是螺旋上升了一个阶梯。现在最后选择的交易方法，也就是一开始在很多论坛上高手们推荐的均线交易方法（大道至简）。
- 短线：入场出场M15 | 观察H1 | 趋势H4 | 持仓小于D1 | 目标50点
- 中线：入场出场H1 | 观察H4 | 趋势D1 | 持仓小于W1 | 目标150点
- 长线：入场出场H4 | 观察D1 | 趋势W1 | 持仓小于MN1 | 目标450点
均线EMA5/8/13，趋势窗口均线展开，观察窗口均线回调，小窗口均线交叉入场出场。
Quick thoughts on the market
I was on business travel to United States in last weeks, and have chances to see the impact of Crisis to its economy. As taking chance to study the market analysis from other known analyst, it all supports a topping for now, and need to prepare for the next wave of storm. I have almost clean up my holdings into cash/bond.
This one is a very good insight report for free.
ZT: A visit to Dakota Residences
Original post from: Singapore Blue Chips. Why is it not a good time to buy property now? Take a look
I visited Dakota Residences over the weekend. There was no crowd, just a couple of families looking at the showflat and the architectural model. Currently Dakota has fully sold its 2 bedroom apartments and are left with few units of 3 bedroom apartments. 4 bedroom apartments are still plentiful as there are little takers.
ZT: View from a prudent home buyer
Original post is from Tan Kin Lian’s Blog.
Dear Mr Tan,
Thank you for giving advise to the public and in a selfless manner. I fully agreed with you.
In fact, I had been visiting show flats since Lehman Brother collapse and also talking to banks to survey the ground. My conclusion is, it’s scary and if you are not careful, you will get into trouble when things go wrong. Let me explain further, my wife and me are in our 40s, consider to be middle income, all the banks encouraged us to take a loan of around $2M and up to 70 years old.
做不好单的常见原因
- 会买，不会卖
- 盈利的拿不住，怕输；亏损的不要卖，还是怕输
所以：
- 入场后如果很快盈利，说明趋势判断正确，要拿住；
- 入场后如果一直不盈利或者亏损，说明趋势判断错误，马上出来
- 以H1图操作，9个小时以后没有趋势，就要出来
ZT:李永强培训笔记:冷静,忍耐,渐进和善待
原文在这里。
如果一定要我把我的交易思想总结出来，那就是八个字：冷静、忍耐、渐进和善待，这是我交易的核心，我也是明白了这些之后我的交易才真正走向了稳定盈利之路。
那么什么是冷静？冷静就是跳出局内，以一个旁观者的眼光与心态来感受市场，来看待行情的波动；能在市场上生存的只有一种人，这种人永远只做市场的观察着，而不会企图去做市场的操控者！
ZT: 酒后泄露“自然交易法”之玄机
不记得以前是否贴过，不过这是顺势操作的优秀文章。
原作者:独狼363，原帖在这里。
假定，价格由A点，上涨到B点，那么，从A——B的过程中，选择观望，因为我不知道价格究竟是上涨？还是下跌？而且上涨或下跌的幅度，我一样无法预知。
ZT: 所有成功的投资/投机大师成功的共同点
很简单的文章，但是也是我最近的感觉，颇有共鸣。原文在这里。
关于投资方面的书多于牛毛，关于投资的方法也层出不穷，关于投资的成功的大师也不计其数，所以只能说明一个道理，通往罗马的道路远远不只一条，所以争论关于那种方法如价值投资还是趋势投资，是做超短还是做波段还是做长线的优劣都没有太大的意义。