今天晚上飞往瑞士 Basel，预测最低气温零下20度，欧洲已经冻死200多人了。也不知道是要兴奋还是开始哆嗦。飞机也晚点，据说英国中转站气候恶劣…
飞往极寒之地
Reply
KPI, Goal and Initiative
Some of the good definitions, useful during the goal setting period in the year.
Key Performance Indicators or KPI is a series of measure that show how the business is likely to perform over medium and long term.
A goal is an observable and measure end result, ultimately linked to the success of the site strategy/vision, to be achieved within a fixed time frame (short term: the coming year). Achieving a goal need to lead to an improvement in a KPI, the success of a strategy and/or attainment of the vision.
An initiative represent the most significant line of business projects that are planned and approved to support a strategy or goal. It amy be made up of several business projects.
ZT: 5 Hard Job Interview Questions
Originally from here.
Job interviews are tough, and so are the questions. Learn how to answer five of the toughest interview questions here:
1. “Tell me about yourself.”
This is not the time to share your life story. What they’re looking for is a brief overview of the aspects of your experience and background that relate to the position. Talk about some accomplishments or strengths you felt really good about, and how you think they prepared you for the position you’re interviewing for.
Example: “I have six years of advertising experience, and spent the past three years as the Assistant Production Manager at This Company, overseeing production schedules, hiring, and deadlines. In that time, I streamlined the workflow so that we were able to meet the deadline for every monthly print project, and in many cases we went to print well before the actual deadlines. I saved the company two weeks worth of staff overtime and expenses. Time management is one of my greatest skills, and I’m sure it would easily transfer to the Production Manager position you’re offering here.”
ZT: Future State of CIO
ZT: 7 lessons for good leaders
Originally from Kelly consulting.
Management is doing things right and leadership is doing the right things.
The seven practices that employees themselves are asking leaders to change are:
- Forget experience, focus on vision: find and develop people who can convey a strong sense of vision and direction rather than promoting people based on age or experience.
- Understand the generational differences & promote natural connections: the way the generations lead and respond are different—no matter who’s leading who, this needs to be top of mind to avoid conflict.
- When dissatisfaction is high, act: don’t sweep negative feedback under the carpet and wait for it to go away. If leadership is contributing to attrition, it won’t change unless you address the leadership behaviors.
- Recognize and reward what’s working: employees who are excelling don’t necessarily need large bonuses, but they do need you to notice.
- Prepare your people for the future: ensure ongoing training and development is appropriate right across people’s career, regardless of age.
- Rethink your leadership culture: lead by example and show you mean what you say.
- Understand what you’re doing right: capitalize on your strengths and share these good practices broadly.
近期市场变化 – 2012年一月
- 法国如期被降级，但是市场没有如我所想大幅跌将
- 美国维持低利率到2014年底，变相QE3，市场有小涨
- 希腊，葡萄牙问题时隐时现，问题解决了还是退后了？
- 美国4艘航母聚集伊朗门口，只是作秀么？
- 欧洲通过对伊朗石油的全面制裁
唯一看见的就是股市没有大跌，但是世界经济也不见好转。目前看来后几个月可能出现市场大幅波动的情况包括：
- 欧洲某个国家违约，破产
- 海湾战争
- 中国经济极度萎缩，直接硬着陆
ZT: The Road to CIO
Puzzlebird: Many of IT colleagues are having the dream to be the CIO in future, but very seldom people are talking about how to move towards the road to CIO. This is a series of article from “ComputerWorld”. The originals were posted in 2005 in three parts. Part 1, Part 2, Part 3. I absolutely agree with this article, and have been aligning my actions before even reading it into following area
- business thought leader (stay closer to business)
- try to expand into business area in projects or roles
- focus on value and delivery (that’s the real thing matters)
- develop my team similarly
Part 1: How to prepare youreself for the top spot
So, you want to be a CIO? The general perceived path is that you grow up on the technical side and then you gradually get more exposure to the business, especially if your organization is proactive and really leverages IT. The road to the corner suite for IT executives is usually through the development of a highly focused expertise. It is exactly this expert mentality that makes the technician or executive useful to his CIO. The more senior an IT executive becomes, the more he is expected to manage. The focus, however, remains largely on IT issues. This creates the conundrum. To be a CIO, you need highly developed business skills — experience that is not always immediately offered to the IT executive. This is experience that you will have to seek out on your own.
Shrinking world shipment demands
BDI is leading indicator, dropping like a total collapse!
Just be prepared for the coming 3 months!
ZT: 伊朗战争的风险越来越近
转载张庭宾先生的文章。
为了石油，中美两国正背道而驰。
1月10日-12日，美国总统特使、财政部长盖特纳访华，此行不是为了中美“友谊”，甚至不是为了促使中国购买更多美国国债，而是意在游说中国停止从伊朗进口石油。当碰壁而回后，美国随即开出了第一张制裁单——对珠海振戎公司进行经济制裁。这可被视为最后警告，中国真正的石油巨头在美国有更多的业务，也更容易受到实际制裁。甚至不排除引发中美全面贸易战的可能，因为美国已经单方面威胁对进口伊朗石油的企业和为之提供服务的央行进行制裁。
随即，1月14日，温家宝总理开始对沙特、阿联酋、卡塔尔三国进行正式访问，并出席在阿布扎比召开的第五届“世界未来能源峰会”开幕式。这是中国总理第一次访问阿联酋和卡塔尔，也是20年来首次访问沙特。其目的也很明确，确保中国的石油供应。中国的石油对外依赖度目前已经高达56.5%，而中东占全部进口石油的40.2%，伊朗则占中国全部进口石油的10.1%，而目前中国的石油战略储备有估测仅在30天左右。
France is downgraded
I have forecasted this a few months ago that France will be downgraded eventually. Last weekend, it happened where S&P downgraded France with other 9 EU countries. Interesting, the market did not crash! Today, Asia dropped a little, but Europe stock still shows some strength.
To me, it shows market has predicted this long time and prepared for it. Also market has prepared for the EU to go even worse in the future. On the contrary, if EU does not go worse, the rebound will be tremendous.
It is time to end of short position, and hold the cash for now… March! let’s wait to see.